By Niall Warry.
- Introduction
Who can deny Climate Change when you consider that Britain was covered in ice over a mile thick during various Ice Ages, vines were grown in this country during the Medieval Warming Period and Frost Fairs were once held on the river Thames at various times throughout history with the last being held in 1814.
The ‘BIG’ question is whether man’s activities are the main contributary factors to Climate Change as championed by the ‘Greens’ or whether so called ‘Climate Change’ is simply a natural cyclical weather event.
My position is quite clear, as summarised in this quote from one of the increasing numbers of ‘Climate Realists’ who do not accept that the Climate Change debate is settled:
“There is no reproducible empirical scientific evidence* that the extra carbon dioxide added to the atmosphere by the human population burning fossil fuels since the beginning of the industrial revolution has had, or will have, an effect on the Earth’s climate that is detrimental to the human population.
*Empirical scientific evidence: data obtained by observation and measurement, processed transparently including full documentation of uncertainty levels.”
That is not to say humans aren’t having an impact, although my research indicates we are not – there is no evidence that the very small amount of CO2 we produce, in addition to that which is produced naturally, is having a detrimental effect.
However, what is abundantly clear, but a completely separate issue, is that man is TOTALLY responsible for polluting our environment namely the land, rivers, seas and oceans with various types of ‘litter’, and it should be noted that the main culprits are NOT found in the ‘Western World’ which is something the Green Movement should acknowledge and respond to accordingly.
- Climate change is cyclical:
Even the briefest study of history proves that climates have changed before man discovered oil or invented the combustion engine. Our planet’s climate has a 4.5-billion-year history, yet man has only recorded our weather since 1861.
The most likely culprit for the regular changes to our climate are the impact of ‘sunspots’ which are storms on the sun’s surface that are marked by intense magnetic activity and play host to solar flares and hot gassy ejections from the sun’s corona. Scientists believe that the number of spots on the sun cycles over time, reaching a peak—the so-called Solar Maximum—every 11 years or so. The Medieval Warm Period 950-1200 and the Little Ice Age 1300-1850 both coincide with high and low levels of solar activity respectively.
There is also another less known theory based on the movement of the tectonic plates. This theory is called ‘The Plate Climatology Theory’ which explains how geological forces influence, alter, or control Earth’s climate and climate-related events as explained in the book by James Kamis, referenced below. That you are probably unfamiliar with both theories only goes to show the power of the media who have in the main totally bought into the Groupthink of anthropological climate change.
However, despite the above, the climate alarmists’ forecast doomsday scenarios for our future based on ‘climate models’ which, basic common sense should tell you “if the input is guess work, then the output is also guesswork!” These predictions are for years to come and yet they still cannot guarantee the weather for a weekend bar-b-que! A further point worthy of note is that ALL the alarmists’ predictions, of major floods, droughts, sea level rises etc., over the last 50 years, have NEVER materialised – the Alarmists scare us but their predictions do not come true.
For example, many in the scientific community were predicting another ‘Ice Age’ in the 1970s which never happened, they then switched to the ‘Global Warming’ scare as temperatures rose but renamed it ‘Climate Change’ when between 1998 to 2012 the temperature stopped rising!
- The politics of the Green Movement.
This is a complicated subject with many twists and turns, as politics does, and covered in detail in the book ‘Green Tyranny’ from my reading list below. Suffice to say the first serious headline environmental issue was the ‘Acid Rain’ scare in the 1960’s, since well documented as being false. ‘Environmentalists’ then switched their concerns to the dangers of nuclear power despite there being plenty of evidence how clean and safe it is. Sweden and Germany were in the forefront of the early Green Movements with the German ‘Energiewende’ program pushing wind and solar power over all other energy sources for mainly political considerations due to the influence of the Green Party who were in coalition. However, a recent report by Germany’s Federal Audit Office has concluded with a catastrophic assessment of the government’s energy policy: with the country’s energy prices now being the highest in the EU and the real danger of their country generating insufficient power for their needs. Interestingly Germany is now opening new coal mines!
Green politics has a great deal to do with power, money, employment and an undeniable anti-capitalist agenda which is why some call Green politicians ‘Watermelons’ as they are green on the outside and red on the inside!
Governments are also attracted to increasing ‘Green employment’ although the reality is that much of the work, like solar panels and electric car batteries, is outsourced to China!
Sadly, the increasingly militant and anti-social demonstrations campaigning to reduce the natural substance ‘Carbon’ and the use of life-saving oil and gas in our world, is based on dogma, ignorance and not scientific facts.
- A few points for you to consider and check:
- Climate modelling/forecasting – All depend on the level of accuracy of the information put in. Guesswork IN = Guesswork OUT!
- Polar bears – Are not on the decline but increasing. Photographs of lone polar bears on small icebergs are pure propaganda!
- CO2 – Is a natural substance and essential for plant growth with the fact that today the world has never been greener. The more CO2 the greener the planet gets. Pre-industrial levels were 200 parts per million and while we are now at 400 ppm the optimum for plant growth is 1200ppm.
- Warmer weather – Has made the Sahara greener on its edges due to increased moisture.
- The atmosphere and Greenhouse gases – Our atmosphere is made up of Nitrogen 78%, Oxygen 21%, Argon 0.9% and Green House gases 0.1%. Of that 0.1% only 4% is CO2 and of that 4% only 3.4% is caused by human activity. Therefore, most CO2 is produced naturally and the total overall amount of CO2 in the atmosphere is pretty insignificant.
- Weather stations – 85% of the earth’s surface is not covered by weather stations with virtually none in mountains, grasslands deserts or the oceans but centred on urban areas thus corrupting weather statistics and making ‘Climate Modelling’ risibly inaccurate.
- Temperature rise – records show conclusively temperature rises occur BEFORE CO2 rises.
- CO2 emissions – China (29%) USA (16%) India (7%) account for 52% of the world’s emissions with the UK only responsible for just 1% of the total.
- Ice melt – Every year, an area the size of the USA melts and then re-freezes. Most if not all films of glaciers breaking off into the sea are annual natural events. There are few if any photographs showing falls of snow and the creation of ice at the start of glaciers.
- Water vapour – There is more water vapour in the atmosphere than CO2 with clouds creating a natural greenhouse effect. Also, most film shots of chimney stack emissions contain large amounts of water vapour not pollution.
- Petrol/diesel – Old leaded petrol released less CO2 into the air than unleaded and, despite government assurances in the past, petrol is generally cleaner than diesel.
- Water levels – More land is sinking than at risk from sea levels rising and many coral islands are getting bigger. Also a third of Holland is below sea level and the Maldives have recently built a new international airport at sea level!
- Natural disasters – There is ample proof that hurricanes, rainfall and flooding are not increasing but what is undoubtably true is that more people now live in the path of these natural events and so the death toll from these events has fallen drastically from around half a million in 1920 to just around 20,000 in 2021.
- The ‘Hockey Stick’ graph – Michael Mann’s famous hockey stick graph, used by Al Gore so dramatically, was proved to have been faked by selective use of data.
- Wild fires – In Australia in 2019/20 there had been worse fires in 1897,1939 &1975 with the damage made far worse due to the ‘green’ policy of ‘biodiversity’, like preventing the maintenance of fire breaks and a ban on collecting and burning leaves and fallen timbers in woodlands. Amazingly there is strong evidence that Black Kites actually spread fires to drive out their prey, an evolved skill learnt over many years before man invented the combustion engine. So, fires are mostly natural while some are started by arsonists. The fires in 2023 in Maui had more to do with the spread of evasive grasses and poor land management than anything to do with the climate.
- Solar and wind farms – Generate no power when the sun doesn’t shine and the wind doesn’t blow and only exist due to large government subsidies taken from us in taxes. They also damage the environment and need huge container-sized diesel generation back up.
- Battery storage – Look beyond the ‘Green’ hype and you will discover that effective battery storage is still a pipe dream.
- BBC – In 2006 the BBC held a secret conference, now disclosed under a FOI request, which decided that the science of CC was settled and so they issued an instruction to all employees that in future they would ONLY report man-made CC as a fact with no airtime given to any counter view.
- Tectonic Plate theory – There is new evidence emerging that the earth’s tectonic plates effect climate change.
- Bad news – When have you ever heard any good news reports of the advantages of climate change? I can assure you there are many to be had like warmer winters just for starters!
- Who benefits – You should ask yourself who benefits from climate alarmism and what is it they have to lose if the main causes to climate changes are simply cyclical natural occurrences?
- Peer reviewed science – is not science but academia and, if you research the topic, the 99% of scientists agreeing CC is man-made is a manipulated statistic to support the Green Movement.
- Animal extinctions – are a normal part of evolution and occur naturally and periodically over time. There’s a natural background rate to the timing and frequency of extinctions: 10% of species are lost every million years; 30% every 10 million years; and 65% every 100 million years.
- Energy needs – Only 20% of the world’s energy needs rely on electricity and of that 20% only 3% is provided by solar and wind. So, 80% of the world’s energy needs rely on fossil fuels and without them the world would literally grind to a halt thus stopping virtually all means of transportation.
- Our sun – Before we blame the comparatively small increases in CO2 for any temperature rise we should further analyse and research sun spot and solar flare activity and the earth’s oval orbit around the sun + the changing tilt of the earth with regards the changing distance the earth is from the sun.
- Ocean Acidity (pH) – Is measured between 0-14 where 0 is acid and 14 alkaline and seven is neutral. The oceans are currently at 8.1, so a long way from the scare that they are becoming acidic.
- IPCC – Even they report behind the headlines that they have low confidence that there have been any increases in droughts, flooding, storms and species extinction.
- Cows – As to the idea that culling methane farting/belching cattle will save the planet is complete madness as there was no Climate Crisis when 60 million buffalo roamed the American plains!
- Flooding – in 2023 the flooding in Derna again was entirely due to the lack of maintenance on a dam, not anything related to climate change.
- Summary
Those heading up the Green Movements and Climate Change lobbying organisations, are now seriously gripped by ‘Group Think’, and have all invested a great deal of time and effort to promote their cause despite the increasing evidence that their beliefs are more about politics, power and money than scientific facts. There is evidence that the alarmist predictions are designed to keep the public on-board, as the media endlessly report the future scenarios of doom as undisputable facts. Interestingly all the previous deadlines for the end of the world, as we know it, have come and gone without incident!
The more militant Environmentalists like nothing more than to wrap themselves up with self-righteous indignation about their desire to ‘Save the Planet’ which they are prepared to protest for in often a violent and destructive way. Man-made Climate Change has for many supporters become virtually a ‘New Religion’ and many of the protestors have a very limited understanding of the facts and simply major on the doomsday rhetoric which they have learnt by heart.
My own wish is that the ‘Green Movement’ would concentrate on the twin ills of the litter pollution of our land, rivers, seas and oceans and the illegal poaching of wild animals and direct their fire to the countries that are the real culprits for both.
Niall Warry
My reading list so far!
All 30 + books and papers below build up a comprehensive picture of why the ‘Green Movement’ is so predominant but also clearly points out how they are victims of ‘Group Think’ and how the Green lobby is more about politics and money than science.
- Human caused Global Warming – The biggest deception in history – Dr Tim Ball – 120 pages and easy to understand.
- Green Tyranny – Rupert Darwall – Charts the history of the Green Movement.
- The Real Global Warming Disaster – Christopher Booker -Well written and clearly explains the Climate Alarmist’s deception.
- Watermelons – James Delingpole – On similar lines to Booker’s book.
- The Skeptical Environmentalist – Bjorn Lomborg – a weighty book from one of the first realists.
- The False Crisis of Rachel Carson ‘Silent Spring at 50’ – Roger E Meiners – Disproves the famous ‘Silent Spring’ book of the 60s.
- Heaven and Earth – Global warming the missing science – Ian Plimer – Australian author very technical.
- Climate Confusion – Roy Spencer – Challenges the alarmists
- The Great Global Warming Blunder – Roy Spencer – Again challenges the alarmists.
- All you need to know about Climate Change in cartoons – Josh – Aimed at children but is not that easy to follow!
- The Polar Bear Catastrophe that never happened – Susan J Crockford – Clearly shows how polar bears are not endangered but thriving.
- Disasters and Climate Change – Roger Pielke Jr. – Explains why disasters are natural.
- Confessions of a Greenpeace dropout – Patrick Moore – Ex-Green a good read explaining his conversion.
- Apocalypse Never – Michael Shellenberger – Ex- Green now CC realist very thought provoking.
- The Moral Case for Fossil Fuels – Alex Epstein – Explains how fossil fuels have improved the quality of life on our planet.
- Fake Invisible Catastrophes and Threats of Doom – Patrick Moore – Separates fact from fiction.
- The Plate Climatology Theory – James E. Kamis – How geological forces influence, alter and control earth’s climate related events.
- Fallen Icon – Susan J Crockford – Proves how Sir Attenborough supported the walrus deception.
- False Alarm – Bjorn Lomborg – how CC panic costs us trillions, hurts the poor and fails to fix the planet.
- Climate Miracle – Ed Berry PhD – explains in 70 pages there is no climate crisis as nature controls climate.
- Greta’s Homework – Zina Cohen – a 101 provocative truths about Climate Change.
- Fallen Icon – Susan J Crockford – Sir David Attenborough and the walrus deception.
- Fossil Fuels –Alex Epstein – shows how global flourishing requires more oil, coal and natural gas – not less.
- There Is No Climate Crisis – David Craig -proves its title!
- Lies and Deniers-Alan Fensin – in just 134 pages explains the truth about climate change.
- In Praise of Carbon – David Bennett Laing – a very complex analysis of why carbon is nothing to worry about.
- Climate the Facts – by multiple authors – each chapter covers a different aspect of why there is no climate crisis.
- The Global Warming carbon dioxide hoax – Alan Fensin- proves why CC is natural and not man-made.
- 13 Facts that prove humans don’t cause Global Warming – Alan Fensin – covers all the basics in 13 clear facts.
- GWPF – various policy papers by this non-party think-tank on – solar power, the battery conundrum, the activities of the sun on our climate.
Blogsites I read